Laszlo Thoth (tongodeon) wrote,
Laszlo Thoth
tongodeon

Worst Oil Spills in History

Gavin Potenza has a nice infographic about oil spills which attempts to put Deepwater Horizon into perspective. Deepwater is bad, but not nearly as bad as others, especially the gulf war oil spill when Iraqi forces intentionally emptied 11 million barrels of oil into the gulf from several tankers at the Sea Island oil terminal. Unfortunately I think Gavin's numbers and illustrations are off enough to make this pretty misleading.

First, his numbers for Deepwater seem to be quite low. The best estimates from Woods Hole Oceanographic say that Deepwater is "42 million to 84 million gallons" so far, which works out to 1.35-2.7 million barrels or 198,000-394,000 tonnes, 3-6x the amount listed. Except it's worse than that. He's comparing spills which have ended to an ongoing oil spill. Deepwater is spilling an average of 4-8000 barrels per day, and if this continues until August that will put the spill at 408,000-812,000 tonnes. So I've depicted four numbers: the current minimum, current maximum, anticipated total minimum when this is all over, and anticipated total maximum.

Second and more importantly, he's measuring length but depicting volume, which has the effect of exaggerating differences at the top end. His high res image is scaled to 10869 tonnes per linear pixel. The droplets grow in X and Y, changing their surface area. He should have either made the drops bars that scale in only one direction, or drawn each drop's surface area in proportion to the spill size. His 259x259 Gulf War droplet represents 22 tonnes per pixel area. I've scaled the remaining droplets so that their areas are in the same relative proportion.

Worst Oil Spills In History
Tags: deepwater horizon, gavin potenza, oil, pics
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